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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-02

NFL · Friday 02 October 2026, 00:15 UTC · finished

Cleveland Browns – 27 - 24 – Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	53.8%	61%	-6.8%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	46.2%	53.8%

Inputs the models saw

	Cleveland Browns	Pittsburgh Steelers
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.18
form diff	-0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.21
opponent strength diff	-0.05
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-01T00:15:00+00:00

Cleveland Browns: last 5

27 Sep	H	Carolina Panthers	21 - 18	W
20 Sep	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23 - 19	W
13 Sep	A	Jacksonville Jaguars	10 - 34	L
04 Jan	A	Cincinnati Bengals	20 - 18	W
28 Dec	H	Pittsburgh Steelers	13 - 6	W

Pittsburgh Steelers: last 5

27 Sep	H	Cincinnati Bengals	30 - 27	W
20 Sep	A	New England Patriots	3 - 20	L
13 Sep	H	Atlanta Falcons	20 - 13	W
13 Jan	H	Houston Texans	6 - 30	L
05 Jan	H	Baltimore Ravens	26 - 24	W

Head to head

28 Dec 2025	Cleveland Browns	13 - 6	Pittsburgh Steelers
12 Oct 2025	Pittsburgh Steelers	23 - 9	Cleveland Browns
08 Dec 2024	Pittsburgh Steelers	27 - 14	Cleveland Browns
22 Nov 2024	Cleveland Browns	24 - 19	Pittsburgh Steelers
19 Nov 2023	Cleveland Browns	13 - 10	Pittsburgh Steelers
19 Sep 2023	Pittsburgh Steelers	26 - 22	Cleveland Browns
08 Jan 2023	Pittsburgh Steelers	28 - 14	Cleveland Browns
23 Sep 2022	Cleveland Browns	29 - 17	Pittsburgh Steelers
04 Jan 2022	Pittsburgh Steelers	26 - 14	Cleveland Browns
31 Oct 2021	Cleveland Browns	10 - 15	Pittsburgh Steelers

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.35	42.6%	01 Oct 23:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.67	59.9%	01 Oct 23:20

Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC