| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.6% | 70% | -9.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.6% | 67.4% |
| logistic | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Luca Van Assche | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1805 | 1918 |
| Surface Elo | 1805 | 1918 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Clement Tabur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Casper Ruud | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Casper Ruud | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.90 | 34.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.00 | 33.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.45 | 69.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.15 | 31.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Learner Tien | 1.47 | 68.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Luca Van Assche | 3.20 | 31.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.03 | 33.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.95 | 33.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.44 | 69.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.05 | 32.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Learner Tien | 1.48 | 67.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Luca Van Assche | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.42 | 70.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.09 | 32.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.34 | 74.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.37 | 73.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.75 | 36.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.95 | 33.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.95 | 33.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.40 | 71.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.90 | 34.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.42 | 70.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 3.00 | 33.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Learner Tien | 1.39 | 71.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Luca Van Assche | 2.85 | 35.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |