| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 59% | -5.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| logistic | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1487 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1487 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 31 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Riccardo Carpano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tommaso Compagnucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 2 - 0 | Tommaso Compagnucci |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 17 Sep 06:15 |