OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Stoke 2.40 0 - 0 0.80 Bristol City
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 41.6%33%+8.8%✗ miss
DCHome or away 73.2%75%-2.2%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 52.2%45%+7.0%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 57.0%53%+3.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.8%28.9%31.3%
xgboost32.3%32.0%35.7%
logistic32.5%28.4%39.0%
Inputs the models saw
StokeBristol City
Elo (pre-match)15171511
Surface Elo15171511
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.400.80
Form trend0.300.30
Season points per game2.250.33
Season goals for / game1.750.33
Season goals against / game1.251.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W5 W · 1 D
Stoke: last 5
17 OctADerby1 - 0W
17 OctADerby1 - 0W
13 OctHMiddlesbrough2 - 3L
13 OctHMiddlesbrough2 - 3L
13 OctAHalifax2 - 4L
Bristol City: last 5
21 OctANorwich1 - 1D
17 OctHSheffield Utd0 - 1L
17 OctHSheffield Utd0 - 1L
13 OctHBlackburn0 - 1L
13 OctHBlackburn0 - 1L
Head to head
02 May 2026Bristol City2 - 0Stoke
01 Nov 2025Stoke5 - 1Bristol City
12 Feb 2025Bristol City2 - 0Stoke
22 Oct 2024Stoke2 - 2Bristol City
04 May 2024Stoke4 - 0Bristol City
30 Sep 2023Bristol City2 - 3Stoke
07 Apr 2023Stoke1 - 2Bristol City
17 Dec 2022Bristol City1 - 2Stoke
15 Apr 2022Stoke0 - 1Bristol City
24 Nov 2021Bristol City1 - 0Stoke
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0832.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5228.4%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3742.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0050.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8554.0%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC