| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 39% | +18.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.2% | 40.7% |
| logistic | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| Kimberly Birrell | Katie Volynets | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1636 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1636 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 9 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Katie Volynets | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Marie Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Aoi Ito | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Marie Bouzkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Aoi Ito | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hanyu Guo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Kimberly Birrell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Polina Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Elise Mertens | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Robin Montgomery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Katie Volynets | 2 - 1 | Kimberly Birrell |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Katie Volynets | 1 - 2 | Kimberly Birrell |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 12 Oct 06:15 |