| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.0% | 36% | +8.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 80% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.4% | 49% | +8.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 64% | -5.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.8% | 26.5% | 28.7% |
| xgboost | 41.5% | 27.7% | 30.8% |
| logistic | 35.5% | 28.9% | 35.6% |
| Trabzonspor | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1704 | 1676 |
| Surface Elo | 1704 | 1676 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.86 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 9 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 5 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Kuopion Palloseura | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Samsunspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Samsunspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Galatasaray | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Galatasaray | 4 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Kocaelispor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Kocaelispor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Amedspor | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler | 2 - 3 | L |
| 09 May 2026 | Besiktas | 1 - 2 | Trabzonspor |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Trabzonspor | 3 - 3 | Besiktas |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Besiktas | 2 - 1 | Trabzonspor |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Trabzonspor | 1 - 1 | Besiktas |
| 04 Feb 2024 | Besiktas | 2 - 0 | Trabzonspor |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Trabzonspor | 3 - 0 | Besiktas |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Trabzonspor | 0 - 0 | Besiktas |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Besiktas | 2 - 2 | Trabzonspor |
| 03 Apr 2022 | Trabzonspor | 1 - 1 | Besiktas |
| 06 Nov 2021 | Besiktas | 1 - 2 | Trabzonspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 19 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 19 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 19 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 19 Oct 18:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.88 | 34.7% | 19 Oct 18:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.79 | 26.4% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.67 | 37.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |