| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.4% | 44% | +4.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 73.4% | 74% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.3% | 62% | +0.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 57% | -5.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.8% | 30.8% | 35.4% |
| xgboost | 29.0% | 31.1% | 39.9% |
| logistic | 28.3% | 29.5% | 42.2% |
| Charlton | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Cardiff | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Cardiff | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Portsmouth | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Sep | H | QPR | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Stoke | 0 - 4 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Watford | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Lincoln | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Southampton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Burnley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Preston | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Charlton | 1 - 2 | Bristol City |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Bristol City | 0 - 0 | Charlton |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Charlton | 3 - 2 | Bristol City |
| 23 Oct 2019 | Bristol City | 2 - 1 | Charlton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.73 | 57.8% | 10 Oct 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.33 | 42.9% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.41 | 29.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 10 Oct 06:15 |