| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.6% | 59% | -7.8% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 79.1% | 83% | -3.5% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.8% | 77% | -11.6% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 65% | -6.3% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.8% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.4% | 23.8% | 37.8% |
| xgboost | 22.1% | 18.5% | 59.4% |
| logistic | 19.9% | 24.5% | 55.6% |
| Gateshead | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1303 | 1416 |
| Surface Elo | 1303 | 1416 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| Rest days | 13 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Stafford Rangers | 0 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Halifax | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Halifax | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Barrow | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Leeds | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Hartlepool | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Tamworth | 3 - 1 | Gateshead |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | Tamworth |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Gateshead | 0 - 2 | Tamworth |
| 08 Oct 2024 | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | Gateshead |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.50 | 22.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |