| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.1% | 40% | +2.4% | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 77% | -2.0% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 53.2% | 55% | -1.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 57% | +6.6% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.3% | 25.9% | 31.8% |
| xgboost | 33.6% | 27.7% | 38.8% |
| logistic | 36.0% | 28.3% | 35.7% |
| Eibar | Almeria | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1596 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1596 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Cordoba | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Cordoba | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Mallorca | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Mallorca | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Oct | A | Oviedo | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | UD Castellonense | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Oviedo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Real Oviedo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Sociedad B | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Sociedad | 4 - 2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Almeria |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Almeria | 3 - 1 | Eibar |
| 07 Mar 2025 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Almeria |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Almeria | 2 - 2 | Eibar |
| 24 Jan 2022 | Almeria | 0 - 2 | Eibar |
| 15 Oct 2021 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Almeria |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.74 | 57.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |