| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.0% | 66% | -6.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.3% | 32.7% |
| xgboost | 74.2% | 24.8% |
| logistic | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Minnesota Wild | New York Islanders | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1592 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1592 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.14 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.21 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Seattle Kraken | 5 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Edmonton Oilers | 3 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 4 - 3 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 3 - 6 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 - 1 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Minnesota Wild | 3 - 4 | New York Islanders |
| 08 Nov 2025 | New York Islanders | 2 - 5 | Minnesota Wild |
| 04 Apr 2025 | New York Islanders | 3 - 1 | Minnesota Wild |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 6 - 3 | New York Islanders |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.52 | 65.8% | 29 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 29 Oct 20:20 |