| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.1% | 81% | -11.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| logistic | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| Hanyu Guo | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1511 | 1708 |
| Surface Elo | 1511 | 1708 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Sorana Cirstea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Elina Svitolina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Katie Volynets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sorana Cirstea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Marta Kostyuk | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Hanyu Guo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | Hanyu Guo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.25 | 23.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |