| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.5% | 68% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| logistic | 67.1% | 32.9% |
| Leylah Fernandez | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1753 | 1581 |
| Surface Elo | 1753 | 1581 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Marie Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Anna Bondar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Elvina Kalieva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Leylah Fernandez |
| 21 Oct 2024 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Leylah Fernandez |
| 16 Oct 2023 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Leylah Fernandez |
| 08 May 2023 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | Leylah Fernandez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |