| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.6% | 72% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.2% | 70.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 23.8% | 76.1% |
| logistic | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Erika Andreeva | Lois Boisson | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1483 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1483 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Elena Pridankina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Simona Waltert | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Polina Iatcenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Elena Micic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Reese Brantmeier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Martyna Kubka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Lucia Bronzetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Fiona Crawley | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Panna Udvardy | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.39 | 71.9% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |