| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.7% | 85% | -14.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 90.9% | 9.1% |
| logistic | 66.9% | 33.1% |
| Ryan Nijboer | Mariano Kestelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1528 | 1416 |
| Surface Elo | 1528 | 1416 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 34 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Fermin Tenti | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Apr | H | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Mar | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Feb | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | David Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.45 | 22.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |