| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.4% | 91% | -17.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.6% | 20.3% |
| logistic | 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Pedro Sakamoto | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1470 | 1332 |
| Surface Elo | 1470 | 1332 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Santiago De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Guido Ivan Justo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Lucio Ratti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Mateus Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Marcelo Zormann Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Dec 2021 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 0 - 2 | Pedro Sakamoto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |