| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 79.7% | 92% | -12.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 8.8% | 91.2% |
| logistic | 16.3% | 83.7% |
| Olle Wallin | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1508 | 1735 |
| Surface Elo | 1508 | 1735 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 26 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Michael Vrbensky | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Marco Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Jaume Munar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Jacob Fearnley | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.09 | 91.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.00 | 12.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |