| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.1% | 85% | -13.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 80.2% | 19.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.6% | 24.4% |
| logistic | 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Eliakim Coulibaly | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1390 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1390 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | Makhlouf, Nazim | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Rocco Piatti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Christian Langmo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Kaan Isik Kosaner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Yassine Smiej | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Liam Branger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Emilien Demanet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Ryden, Victor | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |