| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.0% | 60% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.1% | 62.8% |
| logistic | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Henry Searle | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1474 | 1653 |
| Surface Elo | 1474 | 1653 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.45 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.64 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.82 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Liam Draxl | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Maxim Zhukov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |