| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.8% | 62% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.0% | 47.9% |
| logistic | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Gauthier Onclin | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1629 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1629 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Dan Added | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | Gauthier Onclin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |