OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Scotland League 2 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Dumbarton 1.80 1 - 1 1.40 Stirling
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.1%44%+3.1%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.7%82%-6.3%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 59.9%59%+1.3%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.4%43%+10.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson47.7%24.1%28.2%
xgboost38.9%26.5%34.6%
logistic37.7%28.9%33.5%
Inputs the models saw
DumbartonStirling
Elo (pre-match)13301325
Surface Elo13301325
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.40
Form trend0.30-0.90
Season points per game2.002.33
Season goals for / game2.001.33
Season goals against / game1.000.67
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 4 D
Dumbarton: last 5
13 OctAClydebank FC0 - 4L
10 OctAClyde1 - 2L
10 OctAClyde1 - 2L
03 OctHForfar2 - 1W
03 OctHForfar2 - 1W
Stirling: last 5
10 OctHKelty Hearts2 - 1W
10 OctHKelty Hearts2 - 1W
03 OctAAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
03 OctAAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
22 SepHCumbernauld Colts FC1 - 1D
Head to head
01 Aug 2026Stirling2 - 0Dumbarton
11 Apr 2026Dumbarton2 - 1Stirling
28 Feb 2026Stirling1 - 1Dumbarton
27 Dec 2025Dumbarton1 - 2Stirling
04 Oct 2025Stirling2 - 2Dumbarton
18 Apr 2023Dumbarton0 - 0Stirling
25 Mar 2023Stirling2 - 2Dumbarton
08 Oct 2022Stirling6 - 0Dumbarton
30 Jul 2022Dumbarton2 - 0Stirling
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.6038.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3043.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5066.7%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.4041.7%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC