| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.5% | 53% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.3% | 78% | -1.3% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 65.6% | 74% | -8.0% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 46% | +7.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.1% | 27.1% | 42.8% |
| xgboost | 28.1% | 24.7% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 25.4% | 24.8% | 49.8% |
| Lecco | Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1313 | 1447 |
| Surface Elo | 1313 | 1447 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 876 | 508 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Cittadella | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | US Pergolettese Crema | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 May | H | Modena | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 May | A | Brescia | 1 - 4 | L |
| 01 May | H | Sampdoria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Alcione Milano | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Venezia | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 May | H | Reggiana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 May | A | Modena | 2 - 2 | D |
| 05 May 2024 | Brescia | 4 - 1 | Lecco |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Lecco | 0 - 2 | Brescia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.91 | 52.4% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.00 | 25.0% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.20 | 45.5% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.62 | 61.7% | 04 Oct 06:15 |