| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.2% | 45% | +6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| logistic | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Luca Potenza | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1507 | 1528 |
| Surface Elo | 1507 | 1528 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Stice, T | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Johannus Monday | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Anton Shepp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Lucas Poullain | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |