| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.8% | 71% | -10.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 72.5% | 27.4% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Daniel Jade | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1527 | 1512 |
| Surface Elo | 1527 | 1512 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Etienne Donnet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Kenny De Schepper | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Domenc, Mathys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Daniil Glinka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Trufelli, Timeo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Calvin Mueller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Mar | H | Jelle Sels | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Mar | H | Paul Jubb | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Sep | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.40 | 71.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |