OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Elgin 1.20 0 - 0 1.40 Edinburgh City
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 50.4%48%+2.2%✗ miss
DCHome or away 78.6%82%-3.1%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 63.9%64%-0.6%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66.5%63%+3.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 63.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson52.1%22.2%25.7%
xgboost42.5%21.4%36.1%
logistic48.2%24.7%27.1%
Inputs the models saw
ElginEdinburgh City
Elo (pre-match)13921342
Surface Elo13921342
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.40
Form trend-0.900.20
Season points per game1.701.50
Season goals for / game2.702.00
Season goals against / game1.701.80
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W4 W · 1 D
Elgin: last 5
13 OctHAberdeen0 - 1L
10 OctAForfar2 - 1W
10 OctAForfar2 - 1W
03 OctHClyde6 - 2W
03 OctHClyde6 - 2W
Edinburgh City: last 5
13 OctHSt Mirren0 - 5L
10 OctHSpartans1 - 3L
10 OctHSpartans1 - 3L
03 OctAStranraer0 - 0D
03 OctAStranraer0 - 0D
Head to head
01 Aug 2026Edinburgh City0 - 5Elgin
21 Mar 2026Edinburgh City0 - 3Elgin
24 Feb 2026Elgin3 - 0Edinburgh City
08 Nov 2025Edinburgh City1 - 3Elgin
23 Aug 2025Elgin2 - 4Edinburgh City
12 Apr 2025Edinburgh City2 - 0Elgin
22 Feb 2025Elgin1 - 2Edinburgh City
21 Dec 2024Edinburgh City1 - 0Elgin
28 Sep 2024Elgin3 - 3Edinburgh City
26 Mar 2022Elgin2 - 0Edinburgh City
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.1024.4%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.9025.6%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.6261.7%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away3.1032.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7526.7%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0548.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5863.3%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 23:30 UTC