| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 64.5% | 57% | +7.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.0% | 46.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 75.1% | 24.9% |
| logistic | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Franco Roncadelli | Pedro Boscardin Dias | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1596 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1596 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 59 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Bruno Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Norbert Gombos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Jakub Nicod | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Henri Squire | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Franco Roncadelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Franco Roncadelli | 1 - 2 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| 23 Jun 2025 | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | Pedro Boscardin Dias |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |