| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.3% | 74% | +0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.7% | 24.2% |
| logistic | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Julieta Pareja | Elizabeth Mandlik | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1512 | 1387 |
| Surface Elo | 1512 | 1387 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 198 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Madison Brengle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Mary Stoiana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Thea Frodin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Jul | H | Xinyu Wang | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | H | Panna Udvardy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar | H | Julieta Pareja | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Feb | H | Whitney Osuigwe | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Jan | A | Anna Bondar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | H | Laura Pigossi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Jul | H | Lucia Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Elizabeth Mandlik | 0 - 2 | Julieta Pareja |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |