| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.1% | 65% | -13.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Mitchell Krueger | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1600 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1600 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 22 | 57 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Michael Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Ryan Seggerman | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Mark Lajal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Luka Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Paul Inchauspe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Digvijaypratap Singh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | Mitchell Krueger |
| 12 Sep 2022 | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | Mitchell Krueger |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 15 Sep 09:05 |