| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.8% | 78% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.9% | 21.0% |
| logistic | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| Florian Broska | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1521 | 1402 |
| Surface Elo | 1521 | 1402 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Robert Guna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Arnaboldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Filip Pieczonka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Imanol Lopez Morillo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Trione, Riccardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | George Lazarov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.29 | 77.5% | 11 Oct 06:15 |