OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ France Ligue 3 · Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:45 UTC · finished
Valenciennes 1.80 1 - 1 0.00 Amiens
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 45.8%38%+8.1%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.9%75%-0.5%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 58.1%53%+4.7%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.5%48%+8.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson44.6%27.9%27.5%
xgboost38.1%30.2%31.6%
logistic34.7%24.5%40.8%
Inputs the models saw
ValenciennesAmiens
Elo (pre-match)13321281
Surface Elo13321281
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.800.00
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.002.00
Season goals for / game1.332.00
Season goals against / game1.670.50
Rest days882160
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W5 W · 2 D
Valenciennes: last 5
03 OctAFC Versailles 780 - 1L
26 SepHLe Puy-En Velay FC2 - 1W
19 SepALa Roche Vendee Football2 - 3L
17 MayACaen0 - 3L
10 MayHQuevilly Rouen2 - 1W
Amiens: last 5
03 OctHFC Villefranche-Beaujolais3 - 0W
26 SepAQuevilly Rouen1 - 1D
09 MayASt Etienne0 - 5L
02 MayHRed Star1 - 3L
24 AprHMontpellier0 - 2L
Head to head
13 Jan 2024Valenciennes0 - 1Amiens
23 Sep 2023Amiens0 - 0Valenciennes
22 Apr 2023Amiens0 - 2Valenciennes
26 Dec 2022Valenciennes1 - 1Amiens
02 Apr 2022Valenciennes0 - 2Amiens
23 Oct 2021Amiens3 - 0Valenciennes
20 Apr 2021Amiens3 - 1Valenciennes
18 Dec 2020Valenciennes0 - 2Amiens
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.6537.7%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2031.2%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6537.7%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.1047.6%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7058.8%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC