| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.0% | 77% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.4% | 21.6% |
| logistic | 63.9% | 36.1% |
| Learner Tien | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1939 | 1780 |
| Surface Elo | 1939 | 1780 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Karen Khachanov | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Jakub Mensik | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Learner Tien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Daniel Altmaier | 3 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Learner Tien | 2 - 0 | Zachary Svajda |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.65 | 27.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |