| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.9% | 69% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 88.7% | 91% | -1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.1% | 87% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 50% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 63.6% | 24.0% | 12.4% |
| xgboost | 72.2% | 17.9% | 10.0% |
| logistic | 69.7% | 20.5% | 9.8% |
| Arsenal | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1942 | 1694 |
| Surface Elo | 1942 | 1694 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Bayern München | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Lille | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Leeds | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Hull | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Hull | 2 - 2 | D |
| 23 Sep | A | Boreham Wood | 1 - 1 | D |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 2 - 0 | Everton |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0 - 1 | Arsenal |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Everton | 1 - 1 | Arsenal |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Arsenal | 0 - 0 | Everton |
| 19 May 2024 | Arsenal | 2 - 1 | Everton |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Everton | 0 - 1 | Arsenal |
| 01 Mar 2023 | Arsenal | 4 - 0 | Everton |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Everton | 1 - 0 | Arsenal |
| 22 May 2022 | Arsenal | 5 - 1 | Everton |
| 06 Dec 2021 | Everton | 2 - 1 | Arsenal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 8.00 | 12.5% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.36 | 73.5% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.04 | 14.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.62 | 21.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |