| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.0% | 33% | +10.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.7% | 77% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.0% | 44% | +10.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 65% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.8% | 23.4% | 36.8% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 26.5% | 35.2% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 28.6% | 33.8% |
| Hamburg | Eintracht Frankfurt | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1582 | 1595 |
| Surface Elo | 1582 | 1595 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Paderborn | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Paderborn | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Stuttgart | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Stuttgart | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Hoffenheim | 3 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | FC Koln | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | RB Leipzig | 0 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | RB Leipzig | 0 - 6 | L |
| 02 May 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 - 2 | Hamburg |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Hamburg | 1 - 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 05 May 2018 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 - 0 | Hamburg |
| 12 Dec 2017 | Hamburg | 1 - 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.24 | 30.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |