| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.6% | 70% | -0.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.4% | 34.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| logistic | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1654 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1654 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 27 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Moez Echargui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | Andre Ilagan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | Thomas Faurel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 28 Sep 06:15 |