| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.6% | 66% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| logistic | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Andrej Martin | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1534 | 1530 |
| Surface Elo | 1534 | 1530 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.11 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Svyatoslav Gulin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tiago Torres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | Svyatoslav Gulin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |