| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.5% | 47% | +11.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 83.9% | 72% | +11.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 77.6% | 62% | +15.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 67% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.4% | 21.8% | 22.8% |
| xgboost | 64.8% | 23.5% | 11.8% |
| logistic | 60.6% | 24.6% | 14.8% |
| Westerlo | Waasland-Beveren | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1575 | 1419 |
| Surface Elo | 1575 | 1419 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 42 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | H | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Antwerp | 5 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Antwerp | 5 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | St. Truidense VV | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | St Truiden | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | RSC Habay | 3 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Lommel SK | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Kortrijk | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | St Truiden | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | H | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 3 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.16 | 31.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.50 | 66.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |