OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Borussia Dortmund 2.20 1 - 0 1.00 Eintracht Frankfurt
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 64.5%67%-2.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 88.1%86%+1.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 84.7%82%+2.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.7%73%-9.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson66.9%18.3%14.7%
xgboost75.1%15.6%9.3%
logistic70.2%19.6%10.2%
Inputs the models saw
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
Elo (pre-match)18001601
Surface Elo18001601
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.201.00
Form trend0.600.10
Season points per game2.331.00
Season goals for / game1.831.80
Season goals against / game0.673.20
Rest days714
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Borussia Dortmund: last 5
20 OctASabah Masazir2 - 1W
17 OctAUnion Berlin0 - 0D
17 OctAUnion Berlin0 - 0D
14 OctABodoe/Glimt0 - 1L
09 OctHWerder Bremen2 - 2D
Eintracht Frankfurt: last 5
16 OctHFC Koln1 - 0W
10 OctARB Leipzig0 - 6L
10 OctARB Leipzig0 - 6L
19 SepHFreiburg2 - 2D
12 SepAMainz3 - 1W
Head to head
08 May 2026Borussia Dortmund3 - 2Eintracht Frankfurt
09 Jan 2026Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 3Borussia Dortmund
17 Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt2 - 0Borussia Dortmund
24 Aug 2024Borussia Dortmund2 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
17 Mar 2024Borussia Dortmund3 - 1Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Oct 2023Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 3Borussia Dortmund
22 Apr 2023Borussia Dortmund4 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Oct 2022Eintracht Frankfurt1 - 2Borussia Dortmund
08 Jan 2022Eintracht Frankfurt2 - 3Borussia Dortmund
14 Aug 2021Borussia Dortmund5 - 2Eintracht Frankfurt
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away6.5015.4%24 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%24 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.4071.4%24 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3673.5%24 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.2031.2%24 Oct 17:30
SportyBet1X2away5.8117.2%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.2818.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5265.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3773.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2031.2%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC