| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.0% | 81% | -12.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 80.6% | 19.4% |
| logistic | 65.9% | 34.1% |
| Ryan Nijboer | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1459 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1459 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.90 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Mariano Kestelboim | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Benjamin Hassan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Felipe Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Mwendwa Mbithi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Echazu, M | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.85 | 26.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |