| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.5% | 89% | -19.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 23.5% | 76.4% |
| logistic | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| Leonid Sheyngezikht | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1392 | 1517 |
| Surface Elo | 1392 | 1517 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Noah Regas Luis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Kuzey Cekirge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Takeru Yuzuki | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 May | A | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Cezar Cretu | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.12 | 89.3% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 30 Sep 06:15 |