| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.3% | 74% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 15.8% | 84.2% |
| logistic | 27.6% | 72.4% |
| Kayla Day | Liudmila Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1375 | 1641 |
| Surface Elo | 1375 | 1641 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 34 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Sep | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Elvina Kalieva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Aug | H | Shuai Zhang | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Coco Gauff | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Aug | A | Diane Parry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Kayla Day | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Elsa Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Maya Joint | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Kayla Day | 1 - 2 | Liudmila Samsonova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 16 Sep 06:15 |