OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 18:30 UTC · finished
Nurnberg 1.80 0 - 1 2.00 Kaiserslautern
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.7%51%+0.4%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 77.8%78%-0.5%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 68.1%68%-0.4%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 52.4%42%+10.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 52.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson45.2%25.0%29.9%
xgboost54.9%23.2%21.9%
logistic53.0%27.1%19.9%
Inputs the models saw
NurnbergKaiserslautern
Elo (pre-match)15371505
Surface Elo15371505
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.00
Form trend0.20-0.10
Season points per game2.251.88
Season goals for / game2.631.00
Season goals against / game1.380.50
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 6 D
Nurnberg: last 5
16 OctACottbus1 - 1D
10 OctHWolfsburg4 - 4D
19 SepAKarlsruhe1 - 0W
11 SepHHannover2 - 1W
05 SepAHolstein Kiel2 - 2D
Kaiserslautern: last 5
17 OctHBochum2 - 0W
17 OctHBochum2 - 0W
09 OctAHeidenheim0 - 0D
09 OctAHeidenheim0 - 0D
19 SepHBraunschweig1 - 0W
Head to head
21 Mar 2026Nurnberg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
26 Oct 2025Kaiserslautern1 - 1Nurnberg
12 Apr 2025Kaiserslautern1 - 2Nurnberg
08 Nov 2024Nurnberg0 - 0Kaiserslautern
18 Feb 2024Nurnberg1 - 1Kaiserslautern
02 Sep 2023Kaiserslautern3 - 1Nurnberg
07 May 2023Nurnberg3 - 3Kaiserslautern
29 Oct 2022Kaiserslautern0 - 0Nurnberg
16 Dec 2017Kaiserslautern1 - 1Nurnberg
30 Jul 2017Nurnberg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.2031.2%24 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%24 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2home2.1047.6%24 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%24 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%24 Oct 19:30
Generated 2026-10-30 18:21 UTC