| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.7% | 90% | -10.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 85.3% | 14.7% |
| logistic | 83.5% | 16.5% |
| Elena Rybakina | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2010 | 1594 |
| Surface Elo | 2010 | 1594 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Katarzyna Kawa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Polina Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Kinoshita, Hayu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Diana Shnaider | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Zeynep Sonmez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Elena Rybakina | 2 - 0 | Yulia Putintseva |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Elena Rybakina | 2 - 1 | Yulia Putintseva |
| 06 Oct 2021 | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 2 | Yulia Putintseva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.10 | 19.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.12 | 89.3% | 29 Oct 06:15 |