| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.5% | 53% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.9% | 81% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.4% | 70% | -11.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 61% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.5% | 27.1% | 33.4% |
| xgboost | 39.1% | 24.6% | 36.2% |
| logistic | 40.1% | 27.6% | 32.4% |
| Yeovil | Boston Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1438 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1438 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.73 | 1.09 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.82 | 1.27 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | H | Worthing | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Solihull | 4 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Fylde | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Fylde | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Forest Green | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Boston Utd | 2 - 1 | Yeovil |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Yeovil | 2 - 1 | Boston Utd |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Yeovil | 0 - 3 | Boston Utd |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Boston Utd | 1 - 3 | Yeovil |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |