| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.4% | 65% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.2% | 64.7% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Raul Brancaccio | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1505 | 1652 |
| Surface Elo | 1505 | 1652 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Alexander Ritschard | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Michael Vrbensky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Michael Vrbensky | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Max Houkes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Marlon Vankan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Benjamin Lock | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Niklas Grunewald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Calvin Hemery | 0 - 2 | Raul Brancaccio |
| 02 Feb 2026 | Calvin Hemery | 0 - 2 | Raul Brancaccio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.72 | 58.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |