OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-20
🎾 ATP Challenger Cali, Colombia Men Singles · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 17:20 UTC · finished
Matias Soto 0.00 2 - 1 0.60 Samuel Heredia
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.5%81%-15.4%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov61.4%38.6%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost78.0%21.9%
logistic63.4%36.6%
Inputs the models saw
Matias SotoSamuel Heredia
Elo (pre-match)15381400
Surface Elo15381400
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.000.60
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game0.001.50
Season goals for / game0.001.00
Season goals against / game2.001.50
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Matias Soto: last 5
19 OctHValerio Aboian0 - 2L
19 OctHSamuel Heredia2 - 1W
06 OctAThiago Seyboth Wild0 - 2L
05 OctHThiago Seyboth Wild0 - 2L
29 SepHLautaro Midon0 - 2L
Samuel Heredia: last 5
19 OctAMatias Soto1 - 2L
06 OctHEduardo Ribeiro0 - 2L
05 OctAEduardo Ribeiro0 - 2L
30 SepHJoao Eduardo Schiessl0 - 2L
28 SepHJuan Sebastian Osorio2 - 1W
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Matias Soto2 - 1Samuel Heredia
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.8026.3%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2480.7%20 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC