OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:45 UTC · finished
Nijmegen 1.40 1 - 1 1.20 Go Ahead Eagles
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 66.4%no line✗ miss
DCHome or draw 88.5%no line✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 84.1%no linevoid
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.5%no line✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 51.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson51.4%22.0%26.6%
xgboost50.5%27.3%22.2%
logistic60.7%24.7%14.6%
Inputs the models saw
NijmegenGo Ahead Eagles
Elo (pre-match)15861540
Surface Elo15861540
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.20
Form trend0.800.20
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Nijmegen: last 5
12 SepACambuur0 - 3L
08 SepHExcelsior2 - 2D
05 SepHFeyenoord1 - 3L
29 AugAZwolle3 - 1W
15 AugAWillem II4 - 1W
Go Ahead Eagles: last 5
12 SepHGroningen1 - 1D
08 SepAUtrecht3 - 3D
29 AugAAZ Alkmaar2 - 5L
23 AugHDen Haag3 - 1W
16 AugAFeyenoord2 - 2D
Head to head
17 May 2026Nijmegen2 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
05 Oct 2025Go Ahead Eagles1 - 1Nijmegen
09 Mar 2025Nijmegen2 - 3Go Ahead Eagles
07 Dec 2024Go Ahead Eagles5 - 0Nijmegen
28 Jan 2024Go Ahead Eagles2 - 2Nijmegen
26 Nov 2023Nijmegen1 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
05 Feb 2023Go Ahead Eagles1 - 0Nijmegen
23 Oct 2022Nijmegen3 - 3Go Ahead Eagles
08 May 2022Nijmegen1 - 0Go Ahead Eagles
19 Dec 2021Go Ahead Eagles0 - 2Nijmegen
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC