| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.3% | 49% | +3.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.1% | 54.8% |
| logistic | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Tomas Farjat | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1461 | 1397 |
| Surface Elo | 1461 | 1397 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Giovanni Branchetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Nicolas Bruna | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Rafael Tosetto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Tomas Farjat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 2 - 0 | Tomas Farjat |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.04 | 49.0% | 29 Oct 06:15 |