| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.0% | 74% | -14.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.2% | 37.7% |
| logistic | 60.8% | 39.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Xinyu Gao | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1487 | 1374 |
| Surface Elo | 1487 | 1374 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Whitney Osuigwe | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Akasha Urhobo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Panna Udvardy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mariia Tkacheva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Simona Waltert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Viktoria Hruncakova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Anastasia Gasanova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Kaitlin Quevedo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.95 | 33.9% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.35 | 74.1% | 21 Oct 06:15 |