| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 86.4% | 89% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.7% | 31.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 88.3% | 11.6% |
| logistic | 85.2% | 14.8% |
| Rei Sakamoto | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1724 | 1579 |
| Surface Elo | 1724 | 1579 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Oct | H | Billy Harris | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Kasidit Samrej | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Billy Harris | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Yuta Shimizu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Carl Emil Overbeck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Rei Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | Kasidit Samrej |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | Rei Sakamoto |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | Rei Sakamoto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.12 | 89.3% | 11 Nov 06:15 |