| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 77.6% | 85% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.1% | 68.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.0% | 77.9% |
| logistic | 24.4% | 75.6% |
| Tiago Pereira | Luka Mikrut | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1482 | 1817 |
| Surface Elo | 1482 | 1817 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 0.58 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Vilius Gaubas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Oleksii Krutykh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | Tiago Pereira |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.19 | 84.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.40 | 22.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |