| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.1% | 62% | -12.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.5% | 84% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.6% | 79% | -14.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 68% | -8.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.0% | 24.6% | 42.4% |
| xgboost | 24.6% | 23.5% | 51.9% |
| logistic | 23.8% | 25.0% | 51.2% |
| Solihull | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1333 | 1531 |
| Surface Elo | 1333 | 1531 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Worthing | 0 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Worthing | 0 - 5 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Newcastle United U21 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Halifax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Kidderminster | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Aldershot | 3 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Fylde | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Solihull | 3 - 3 | Carlisle |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Carlisle | 1 - 1 | Solihull |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.30 | 23.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.70 | 21.3% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |